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SPY and QQQ Today: October 8, 2026 Recap, a Red Day for the Nasdaq

Thursday was a red day, and tech took the bigger hit. I am Jake. Numbers first, then what a day like this does to your head.

The numbers from Thursday, October 8

SPY opened at 774.86, touched a high of 777.09 and a low of 770.44, and settled at 773.93. Against the prior close of 777.22 that is a drop of 3.29, or 0.42%. SPY gapped down at the open and finished about 52% of the way up its range, which is the middle of the day’s range, and 0.93 below where it opened.

QQQ had the rougher session. It opened at 753.97, reached 757.18 on the high and 743.23 on the low, then closed at 747.58. The prior close was 757.73, so the change was -10.15, or -1.34%. It also gapped down, and it closed only about 31% of the way up its range, 6.39 below the open. That is the lowest close since October 1, when QQQ settled at 742.03.

The levels matter too. QQQ traded below Monday’s low of 749.08 and below Friday October 2’s low of 747.53. It closed at 747.58, just 0.05 above that Friday low. Volume was about 50 million shares, roughly double the 25 million or so of each of the two sessions before it.

Comparing the two funds

SPY fell 0.42% while QQQ fell 1.34%. The Nasdaq-100 fund dropped roughly three times as much as the S&P 500 fund. I am not going to tell you why. The data shows the size of the gap, and that is all I will claim.

What to do with your own head after a -1.3% day

A drop of 1.34% sounds small on paper. It does not feel small when you are holding tech and the screen is red. This is where accounts get hurt, and it is rarely the market that does the hurting. It is the decisions made while staring at it.

Two habits do the most damage. The first is revenge trading, where you take a quick, oversized position to win back what the red candle cost you. The second is averaging down, where you keep adding to a losing position because a lower price feels like a discount. Both feel like action, and both replace a plan with a mood.

I know this from the inside. My own record reads Year 1: lost $11,400. Year 2: broke even. Year 3-6: profitable. The jump between those years was not a better prediction of the market. It was writing down what I would do before the open, and then doing that instead of what I felt like doing.

Size so the gap does not decide your week

Thursday opened below the prior close. If your position was sized so that a gap like that threatens your whole week, the size was the problem before the gap ever showed up. Position sizing is the part you control when nothing else is under your control.

A simple version is to fix the most you will lose on one trade as a slice of your account, then work backward to the share count. Then a gap-down open is an annoyance rather than an event. You can still be wrong, but not wrong enough to change how you trade for the next five days.

Why a defined stop beats improvising

On a red tape, improvising means deciding entries, exits and size while your pulse is up. A copied alert arrives with the decisions already made. It has an entry, it has a stop, and the stop is the point where the idea is wrong and the loss is capped before you ever feel it.

That is what I like about copying a trade with a defined stop. You follow rules written when nobody was panicking, and you know your downside before you click.

I will be honest about the other side of it. Copied trades can lose. They can lose on a day like Thursday, and they can lose on a quiet day too. A stop limits the damage on a single trade, but it does not turn a loss into a win, and nothing here is a promise of results. The value is in the structure, not in a guarantee.

Thursday’s calendar, for the record

For reference, here is what was scheduled, with forecasts and prior readings only. Waller was set to speak at 4:30am ET. Unemployment Claims were due at 8:30am ET with a forecast of 200K against a previous 197K. Final Wholesale Inventories carried a forecast of 0.7% and a previous 0.7%. Natural Gas Storage had a forecast of 79B against a previous 64B. The 30-year bond auction was set for 1:01pm ET and Musalem for 1:40pm ET. That is a schedule and nothing more.

Looking ahead to Friday, October 9

The calendar is light. Preliminary UoM Consumer Sentiment is due at 10:00am ET with a forecast of 47.5 against a previous 47.8. UoM Inflation Expectations are also due, with a previous reading of 4.6%. Collins speaks at 4:00pm ET. I have no prediction for any of it.

If you take one thing from Thursday, make it this. Write your plan while the market is calm, size it so a gap cannot decide your week, and let the stop do the deciding when your head cannot.


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